KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 22:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
U.S. Senator 0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC1. Feb. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegeln
If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES.
- If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO.
- "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029.
- Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029??
- Kalshi bewertet U.S. Senator mit 0% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? entschieden?
- Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? soll am 1. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.