Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 06:37 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 78.5%
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet28. Sept. 25, 18:23 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Best Video Generation Model (by company/organization) EOY 2026
Manifold Markets3x3x3 Rubik's Cube solved by video generation model by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsBenchmark Gap #5: Once a single AI model solves >= 95% of miniF2F, MATH, and MMLU STEM, will it be less than two years before AI models are used as entry-level data science / data analysis / statistics workers?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Critera
- The resolution of this market is based on the performance of publicly available video generation models on LA Times Easy Sudoku puzzles.
- I will test models on fresh puzzles.
- If any model succeeds in at least two of three attempts this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise this market will resolve NO.
- [image]https://video-zero-shot.github.io/mp4/sudoku_completion.mp4