Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.1%
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet28. Sept. 25, 18:27 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Critera
- The resolution of this market is based on the performance of publicly available video generation models on a 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube.
- I will take photos of myself holding a Rubik's Cube in various scrambled states.
- I will test models on these photos.
- If any model succeeds in at least one of five attempts this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise this market will resolve NO.