Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose5+ 63.9%Führend unter 6 Optionen
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet27. März 26, 20:07 UTC28. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If X happens in the Victorian state election, will the Coalition overtake One Nation in national polls in December 2026?
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The orange tide is sweeping the nation as the LNP brand collapses, but Victoria is the place One Nation finds it hardest to succeed - usually.
- What will happen this November?
- Question refers to Lower House seats only - i.e. seats in the Legislative assembly.
- (The legislative assembly is the Victoria equivalent of the house of representatives federally.
- The question does NOT include the upper house, i.e. the Legislative Council, which is the equivalent of the Senate.)
- It will be resolved ASAP after the election, which may mean after recounts and any court cases if they affect the answer!
