Aktuelle Community-Prognose
The Coalition wins the most seats 50%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet12. Okt. 26, 18:58 UTC31. Dez. 26, 12:59 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market contains multiple independent options corresponding to different outcomes ("Condition X") in the Victorian state election scheduled for 28 November 2026.
- Each option resolves as follows:
- N/A if the specified condition does not occur according to official election results published by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) or a consensus of credible media outlets.
- YES if the specified condition occurs and the Coalition leads Pauline Hanson's One Nation in the national primary vote opinion polling average in Victoria at the end of December 2026 (i.e., the Coalition's primary vote percentage is strictly higher than One Nation's).
- See below for how the polling averages are calculated.
