Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 53%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet13. Mai 25, 16:48 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran strike US military base at least once before November?
Manifold MarketsUS military draft authorized in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US military control at least ten percent of Iran by area at any point during 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Military kills 1+ US Citizen in military strike on alleged drug traffickers?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
- 2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far.
- This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2025 or 2026 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation.
- If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no.
- If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
