Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93%
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet29. Dez. 25, 20:52 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Ukraine holds an election while the Russian invasion of Ukraine is ongoing, who will win?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Ukrainian law bans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections under martial law.
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine holds any national elections (presidential or parliamentary) at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no national elections are held during 2026.
- Martial law has been extended in 90-day intervals since the full-scale invasion with parliament's approval, and has most recently (as of November 2025) been extended for the 17th time until 3 February 2026.
- All political parties represented in the Verkhovna Rada signed a document in which they agreed to postpone holding any national election until after the end of martial law and agreed to work on a special law that would regulate the first post-war election, which would take place no earlier than six months after the cancellation of martial law.
