Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98%
Prognostiker
43
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 26, 20:51 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Xi dies while in office, and Trump dies while not in office
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump dies before 2036?
Manifold MarketsHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, etc.) or official government sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives through December 31, 2026.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- He is the oldest person in American history to be inaugurated as president.
