Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:28 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 82.9%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet14. Apr. 25, 11:15 UTC31. Dez. 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies before January 1, 2036.
- It resolves NO if he is still alive on or after January 1, 2036.
- Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old as of 2023.
- He served as the 45th President of the United States from 2017 to 2021 and is currently a candidate in the 2024 presidential election.
- Considerations
