Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91%
Prognostiker
257
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Juni 25, 23:07 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:44 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold MarketsWill António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies within 4 years after leaving office
Manifold MarketsIf Trump dies while in office, will the market go up or go down?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWho will control the House?
KalshiRegeln
This will resolve on inauguration day, January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST.
- If U.S. President Donald J. Trump is dead by that time, then the answer to this question is yes.
- This includes the possibility that he dies while J.D. Vance is the acting president if Trump is removed from office during his 2nd term.
- If Donald J. Trump is not dead by that time, then the answer to this question is no.
- This is regarding Trump's 2nd term as 47th president only and is regardless of any attempt that Trump makes to extend his term or run for a 3rd term.
