Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet2. Juni 25, 23:07 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:44 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies within 4 years after leaving office
Manifold MarketsWill António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This will resolve on inauguration day, January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST.
- If U.S. President Donald J. Trump is dead by that time, then the answer to this question is yes.
- This includes the possibility that he dies while J.D. Vance is the acting president if Trump is removed from office during his 2nd term.
- If Donald J. Trump is not dead by that time, then the answer to this question is no.
- This is regarding Trump's 2nd term as 47th president only and is regardless of any attempt that Trump makes to extend his term or run for a 3rd term.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump dies in office during his 2nd term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump dies in office during his 2nd term? entschieden?
- Trump dies in office during his 2nd term? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump dies in office during his 2nd term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This will resolve on inauguration day, January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST.