Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 50.2%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 25, 22:03 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump die within 1 year after leaving office?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Donald Trump dies during office (i.e., before leaving office), this market will resolve to N/A.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 50% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office entschieden?
- Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Donald Trump dies during office (i.e., before leaving office), this market will resolve to N/A.