Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.2%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet4. Mai 26, 02:50 UTC2. Jan. 30, 03:48 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become the CEO of Microsoft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Altman is incarcerated in a correctional facility due to a criminal conviction by the resolution date. "Incarcerated" is defined as being held in a jail or prison following a sentence or remand.
- If he is not imprisoned, or if charges are dismissed, dropped, or result in a non-custodial sentence (such as probation or fines only), the market resolves to "No."
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, The New York Times) confirming the imprisonment will serve as the source of truth for resolution.
- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI.
- This market tracks public information regarding his legal status.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 entschieden?
- Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria