Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.1%
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10
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet1. März 24, 23:44 UTC1. Juli 28, 06:59 UTC
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Credible sources, battles or clear Russian troops on the other side of the border.
- Or, bombs them, or does drone strikes.
- Or other kinetic attacks.
- Threats leading to concessions of territory or political union would not count because it's too hard to evaluate.
- There has to be at least a shot fired.
