Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNo change 80%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet16. Mai 26, 06:06 UTC3. Nov. 26, 03:25 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the official decision on the cash rate target announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) following its monetary policy meeting in November 2026.
- Increase: Resolves to this if the RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this if the RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves to this if the RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
- The resolution will be based on the official Media Release published on the Reserve Bank of Australia website.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.705,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77.923 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,9 €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No change mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? entschieden?
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria