Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 73.8%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
17. Feb. 24, 01:46 UTC1. Juli 29, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will OpenAI be worth less than $250 billion (in Jan 2025 dollars) at any point before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy deliver 50 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2029?
Manifold MarketsMicrosoft’s Market Cap end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketStripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketRegeln
The English word "worth", not the SEC term "valued at".
- If a huge number of people or amount of money clearly believes that 1% of OpenAI is worth more than 1% of ms, and this is sincere, then YES
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 96.559,7 €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 74% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029 entschieden?
- OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029 soll am 1. Juli 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The English word "worth", not the SEC term "valued at".