Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose≥$0.6T 100%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet22. Apr. 26, 03:49 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2027
Manifold MarketsMeta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).