Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 81%
Prognostiker
41
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet15. Okt. 25, 22:20 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OpenAI reaches 250GW compute capacity by EOY 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
Manifold MarketsMore valuable company in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the lowest range Palantir stock price will reach in the next 2 years?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegeln
See analysis by Epoch AI:
- https://epochai.substack.com/p/openai-is-projecting-unprecedented
- I plan to use that article to handle ambiguities and corner cases (mergers and acquisitions, inflation).
- If there's any doubt about this resolving YES or NO on a technicality, ask the clarifying question before trading.
- The spirit of the question is about whether AI is a bubble.
- Again, any way that you can foresee that the spirit and letter of this market may differ, ask.
