Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBlue wave midterms 74.9%+11.1ptFührend unter 24 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+11.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
21. Jan. 26, 02:56 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.
- Each answer represents one cell on his bingo card.
- Resolution: These markets will resolve as decided by Mr. Beat, should he post a timely update reviewing his predictions.
- If he fails to do so, or if his resolution is unclear, ambiguous, or incomplete, I (@evandaniel assisted by Claude) will do my best to resolve on his behalf.
- 🎬 Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DHSnDvyuJI 🎴 Bingo card viewer: https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/card.html?id=mr-beat-2026
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 125.416,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 156.321,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 26.110,1 €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Blue wave midterms mit 75% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card entschieden?
- Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.