Is the Exponential Time Hypothesis true?

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.1pt4%
• October 310%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

67,7 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

76.112,6 €

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt14.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 27, 2026?

• 5.7 to 5.8+76.0pt82%
• 5.3 to 5.4-10.7pt4.5%
• 5.9 to 6.0-7.3pt4.5%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

• Hodge Conjecture-8.0pt40.5%
• Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem+17.0pt28.5%
• Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

• No97.7%
• Yes2.3%

Gesamtvolumen

1,8 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

3289,5 €

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30-11.5pt43%
• December 31-4.5pt6%

Gesamtvolumen

20.749,6 €

24h-Volumen

2136,8 €