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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 65.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert1. Sept. 25, 21:46 UTC1. Sept. 75, 21:26 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is string theory correct?
Manifold MarketsWill Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill String Theory have experimental validation by 2050?
Manifold MarketsSusy particles discovered by 2075, proving string theory, and susy?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
Are the most influential results in string theory already produced in the past, or are there bigger discoveries to come?
- This market resolves to "Yes", if the most cited paper in string theory on 2075-09-01 is already present today (2025-09-01).
- Otherwise it resolves to "No".
- Only papers reporting original results will be considered.
- Review papers are excluded.
- By trading in this market, you agree to let me be the judge for subjective matters associated with this market (e.g., whether a paper is in string theory).