@iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim?
KIOne-Off3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.5%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet2. Sept. 25, 17:01 UTC1. Jan. 30, 17:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
PolymarketOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
@iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI
- https://x.com/iruletheworldmo/status/1961148209276813322?t=B3vzxyh4Vj3uK82o7Lbokg&s=19
- do you agree with this claim?
- the market resolves to yes if openai publicily hints at achieving AGI before the end of 2025
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim? entschieden?
- @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI