Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2027-2028 48.8%Führend unter 4 Optionen
2027-2028 48.8%Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-3.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet15. Jan. 24, 01:53 UTC1. Jan. 41, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.
- Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.
- All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.
- This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.
- 2 Starship launches
- 96 Falcon launches