Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2080-2089 19.1%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juni 25, 03:02 UTC31. Dez. 20, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
As a bloc, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN - Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) already forms one of the world's largest collective economies.
- 2025 IMF World Economic Outlook data put ASEAN's combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) at roughly US $13 trillion, versus US $30.5 trillion for the United States — a little over 40 % of U.S. size today.
- Continued rapid growth in populous members such as Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, together with steady expansion in services and high-tech hubs like Singapore and Malaysia, leads many forecasters to ask when the region might finally grow to twice the size of the U.S. economy in PPP terms.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the first calendar year in which ASEAN’s combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is at least 2.00 times (≥200%) the GDP (PPP) of the United States, based on the following rules:
- Primary data source — Use the April or October release of the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) for the relevant year.
