Wird eine KI im Jahr 2028 in der Lage sein, zufällig ausgewählte Computerspiele auf menschlichem Niveau zu spielen, wenn sie die Möglichkeit erhält, durch Selbstspiel zu trainieren?
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Veraltet20. Feb. 23, 22:42 UTC2. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will a commercial AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use?
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
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Resolves positively if there is an AI can learn to play randomly selected computer games (shooters, strategy games, flight simulators, etc) at the level of an amateur but not completely incompetent human player, given only a small amount of time (days, not years) for its programmers to connect it properly, and the opportunity to practice for arbitrary (but achievable) amounts of time.
- I will resolve this positively if the AI succeeds more than half the time.
- It's okay if it also has a few games it just can't learn.