Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Green 55.2%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet6. Dez. 25, 01:57 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Labour or Reform have the second leadership election between them, after 12th April 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
GeminiWill the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiUK election called by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Update 2026-05-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the UK PM after the next election is from Labour, Reform, or Conservatives, the market resolves N/A (all trades are cancelled and mana is returned).
- The market only resolves to one of the listed options if a PM from that specific party wins.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Green mit 55% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election? entschieden?
- If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2026-05-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the UK PM after the next election is from Labour, Reform, or Conservatives, the market resolves N/A (all trades are cancelled and mana is returned).