Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Labour Party 34.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
4. März 26, 17:511. Jan. 31, 0:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Labour Party37%
Plattformen vergleichen· Labour party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
5.7 pts3J
37.4%
31.3%
20.2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
59 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen211.703 €
24h-Volumen23,2 €
KALSHI
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2J
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose55 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.