Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Labour Party 39.5%Führend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1647 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadTrader
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
15. Aug. 29, 12:00 UTC1. Jan. 31, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the the named outcome receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
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POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Next French Presidential Election
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which party will win the next UK general election??
- Gemini bewertet Labour Party mit 40% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which party will win the next UK general election? entschieden?
- Which party will win the next UK general election? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which party will win the next UK general election? abgerechnet?
- Gemini rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Which party will win the next UK general election? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi, Manifold Markets gelistet.