Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juli 24, 14:18 UTC1. Jan. 36, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2026?
Manifold Markets“Will we discover definitive evidence of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2030
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegeln
Will it turn out that NASA's Perseverance rover findings cited in the july 26, 2024 paper in Scientific American are traces of extraterrestrial life ?
- https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/nasas-perseverance-rover-discovers-a-rock-that-may-contain-alien/
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve YES if the scientific community considers other Perseverance samples with similar "leopard spots" features sufficient evidence of life on Mars, even if the specific samples cited in the 2024-07-26 Scientific American article are not returned to Earth for confirmation.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 89.717,7 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 101.876,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 26.193,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.527 €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ? entschieden?
- Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ? soll am 1. Januar 2036 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will it turn out that NASA's Perseverance rover findings cited in the july 26, 2024 paper in Scientific American are traces of extraterrestrial life ?