By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump?
US PoliticsOne-OffSportCrime & JusticeGolf1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 60.9%
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet13. Sept. 26, 11:12 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is another confirmed, deliberate assassination attempt on Donald Trump occurring between September 13, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, an event must meet the following criteria:
- Target and Intent: The act must be a physical, deliberate attempt to take the life of Donald Trump.
- Lethal Means: The attempt must involve a weapon or method capable of causing death (e.g., firearms, explosives, poisoning, or direct physical assault).
- Official Characterization: The incident must be officially characterized as an "assassination attempt" or "attempted assassination" by a major U.S. federal or state law enforcement agency (such as the FBI, U.S. Secret Service, or Department of Justice), or result in federal charges explicitly for the attempted assassination of Donald Trump (e.g., under 18 U.S. Code § 1751).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 61% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? entschieden?
- By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria