In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
PolitikManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseA streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality 75.3%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet27. Apr. 26, 00:39 UTC31. Dez. 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?
- At some point in the year 2050, I will identify a member of each listed class and ask them whether they think any assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump during his presidency was an operation planned by Trump and/or his close allies.
- I will target people who I think have a low chance of being aware of this market.
- I will try to get them to land on a percentage chance.
- I will then resolve the answers to those percentages.
- If the subject is overall noncooperative, I will likely just choose another member of the class.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet A streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] entschieden?
- In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] soll am 31. Dezember 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?