Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
InflationPolitikDailyWahlLatin AmericaCommodities1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 86.2%
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert4. März 26, 16:59 UTC25. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
Resolves YES if the value labeled “Preço Médio do Brasil” on Petrobras’ gasoline page is ≥ R$ 6.50 per liter at 23:59 (Brasília time) on Oct 25, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Source: Petrobras price portal - Preço Médio do Brasil: https://precos.petrobras.com.br/sele%C3%A7%C3%A3o-de-estados-gasolina
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 323.760,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.329 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 523.015,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.025,7 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4356,6 €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)? entschieden?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)? soll am 25. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the value labeled “Preço Médio do Brasil” on Petrobras’ gasoline page is ≥ R$ 6.50 per liter at 23:59 (Brasília time) on Oct 25, 2026.