Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (81%)
Entschieden: 21.10.2026, 00:30
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 21.10.2026, 16:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU order a general-purpose AI model withdrawn or restricted from its market before 2027?
FutuurWill there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Publicly available: Must be available to normal users (paid ok) at some point before 2027.
- General purpose: This is based on advertising and positioning of the model.
- GPT-5.3-Codex would not count because it's positioned as a Codex-specific model, as evidenced by its exclusive availability within Codex.
- GPT-5.2 would count.
- In general if the model is released within a chatbot, that's sufficient to make it general purpose.
- Major AI Labs: For this market, this list includes OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, and DeepSeek.
