30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?
FedOne-OffInflationBonds & TreasuriesPolitikUS Politics2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 65.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
30. Mai 25, 19:20 UTC19. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond reaches or exceeds 5.6% at any point during Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States.
- Trump's second term began on January 20, 2025, and is scheduled to end on January 20, 2029.
- The yield data will be verified using official sources such as the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates (tradingeconomics.com) or the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (fred.stlouisfed.org).
- If the yield does not reach 5.6% during this period, the market will resolve to "No."
- The 30-year Treasury yield reflects investor sentiment about long-term economic growth and inflation expectations.
Offene Märkte
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.525,8 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 997.035,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 41.181,8 €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term? entschieden?
- 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term? soll am 19. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria