Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Up 5% to 14% 57.7%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet15. Dez. 25, 23:29 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDaily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Simple question: what will be the percentage difference between the S&P500 at the opening bell on the first trading day of 2026, compared to the closing bell on the last trading day of 2026.
- AI bubbles correction? interest rate cuts?
- Note these are days and hours in which the U.S. market is open, and not any after hours trading, or trading on international markets in different time
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the percentage change of the S&P 500 between the opening price on the first trading day of 2026 and the closing price on the last trading day of 2026.
- Only regular market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) count; after-hours trading is excluded.
