Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Let dough sit 24 hrs 0%Führend unter 221 Optionen
Prognostiker
356
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
22. Mai 25, 19:4325. Juli 26, 22:36
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Watch the video50%
Volumentrend
$15310. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
118,6 €Engineered pandemic: 13.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)
353 €Donald Trump: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
87,7 €June: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?
28.736,1 €Above 2 inches: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
14.945,5 €2: 64%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rain in Los Angeles in Jul 2026?
3723,3 €Above 1 inch: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRegeln
If the change is distinguishable AND is worse, resolves NO
- If the change is distinguishable AND is better, resolves YES
- If the change is not distinguishable AND does not greatly (25%?ish) reduce time or inputs, resolves NO
- If the change is not distinguishable AND does greatly (25%?ish) reduce time or inputs, resolves YES
- If I determine the change is too difficult (I have my own mill but sifting by hand could be maybe too tedious?, stuff like grow my own wheat), I am liable to resolve that option N/A
- If I determine the change departs too far from the categories "bread" or "loaf of bread" (such as suggesting I make a bread bowl with split pea soup😋 or a BLT 😋 or cinnamon rolls 😋), resolves N/A