Manifold Markets
Spielgeld-Prognosemarkt, auf dem jeder Märkte mit Mana erstellen und handeln kann, einer virtuellen Währung, die sich nie auszahlen lässt. Für die Teilnahme ist keine Identitätsprüfung nötig.
Manifold Markets besuchenVerfügbarkeit
Prognose- oder Spielgeldquelle; eine Handelszulässigkeit ist nicht anwendbar.
KYC / Identität
Keine Identitätsprüfung erforderlich
Methodik und Zugang
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Abwicklung in
Mana (play money)
Markttyp
Limit orders + AMM (CPMM)
Live-Statistiken
Offene Märkte34.477
Gesamtmärkte49.946
Teilnehmer965.381
Ø Prognostiker/Frage19.8
Ø Ergebnisse/Markt4.0
Auflösungsquote31%
Zuletzt aktualisiert21. Okt. 2026, 2:59
Top-Kategorien
1. One-Off31349 Offene Märkte
2. Politik6267 Offene Märkte
3. US Politics5376 Offene Märkte
4. KI5313 Offene Märkte
5. Technik5023 Offene Märkte
Auflösungshistorie
12,173 aufgelöste Märkte · seit 2022 · 100% vom Anbieter zeitgestempelt
Auf CoinRithm entdecken
Weiterführende Artikel
Offene Märkte
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
- 10 traders in 10 days (April 26)100%
- 20 traders in 20 days (May 6)100%
- 30 traders in 125 days (August 19)100%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12.879,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2082,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
- 1M-10M-2.6pt22.7%
- <10K (includes negative numbers)19.7%
- 10M-100M-14.0pt18.9%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
- 2028-2.3pt11.1%
- 2027-3.1pt10.2%
- 2026-0.7pt10%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 48,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will I reach 100 pounds?
- Before Aug 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before May 2027+48.0pt98%
- Before Feb 2027+11.7pt90.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 771,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 364,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
- Arthur100%
- Bertha100%
- Cristobal100%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3947,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 93,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAs of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
- Ardian32.8%
- Apollo-1.7pt6.5%
- Lexington-1.1pt2.5%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSOklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs, Oct 20
- Oklahoma City Thunder+43.0pt89%
- San Antonio Spurs-43.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18.682,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.991,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSGas Price on October 26
- 4.1999 or more?-42.0pt48%
- 4.2199 or more?-63.0pt17%
- 4.2399 or more?-50.6pt12%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3449,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1915,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich results will happen during Week 8 of the College Football Season?
- Delaware defeats Missouri State+40.9pt99.9%
- Miami (FL) defeats Pittsburgh92%
- UConn defeats UMass85%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2322,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2159,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS(Week 1) NBA 2026-27 Mega-Market: All Games 🏀
- 76ers beat Knicks (10/20)100%
- Thunder beat Spurs (10/20)+36.5pt89%
- Spurs beat Mavericks (10/24)-1.0pt72%
+40 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6581,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6201,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat percent of people will be micro-chipped by 2040?
- 0%14.7%
- 100%-3.9pt13.4%
- 1%7.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be elected President of France in the 2027 presidential election?
- Marine Le Pen-34.7pt48.4%
- Édouard Philippe+10.1pt18.1%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+7.8pt10.2%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 676,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 194,1 €
- In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?
- Georgia Senate: which counties will Jon Ossoff win?
- Barcelona VS Real Madrid | Laliga | 25 October 2026
- What will be the most streamed song on Spotify this week?
- If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
- SF Supervisor D8 Election: Manny Yekutiel First round position?
- Which player will lead the league in receiving yards in the 2026 regular season?
- Who will win Best Actor at the 2027 Academy Awards?
- How many Falcon 9/Heavy launches will SpaceX conduct in October 2026?
- Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
- Which Nov 2026 California ballot propositions will pass?
- Which Old School Runescape player will get the first solo completion of The Fractured Archive?
- Alberta Referendum vs Charles III US Visit - 2026
- US Average Gas Price on October 26 2026?
- When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?
- Who will win the 2026 US Women’s Chess Championship?
- Which team will win the WNBA championship this season?
- Who will be the next Patriarch of Moscow and all Rus' after Kirill?
- Who will be the next Mayor of Croydon?
- Who will be my most streamed Spotify artist in October 2026?
- 2026/27 UEFA Champions League Top 8
- Which season will I be back in the Masters League?
- When will next codex reset occur?
- What will Elon Musk do in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Which words will Trump say out loud between midterm election night (Nov 3, 7 PM ET) and Nov 5, 2026?
- What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?
- Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Georgia's 7th District?
- Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?
- Who will be in the Israeli government following the next elections?
- Elon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
- F1 2026 Prop Bets United States 🇺🇸 (Austin, Circuit of the Americas) Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
- Which NFL team will be the last to suffer a loss in the 2026-2027 season? (Last undefeated team)
- Who will be elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
- Australia vs New Zealand Test Series Megamarket
- For which of the Millennium Prize Problems will the Million Dollars be taken ?
- October 2026 AI model releases
- NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
- When will the next Avengers film release?
- What will TSMC market cap be at the end of 2027?
- Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime by which date?
- First House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
- What year will Earthblade be released?
- Price of gas on Election Day?
- Which of these websites/apps will be sold or cease to exist by end of 2028? [Add answers]
- Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
- When will Yap use a recommendation engine instead of just showing newest posts?
- Which NFL teams will have 12 or more wins in the 2026-2027 regular season?
- Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
- (Week 4) NHL 2026-27 Mega-Market: All Games 🏒
- What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
- 2026-2027 Calder Trophy
- When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- What will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?
- What will be the Top EU company by market cap at the end of 2026?
- Higher finish (Head-to-Head) League Stage 2026/27 UEFA Champions League
- How many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
- When Anthropic will release Jev/DecisionAPI alternative?
- MLB Season Prop Bets
- Israel election: Who will be the next prime minister?
- How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
- Best Prompt Engineering News Source (Permanent)
- Who will win the Ballon D’Or 2026?
- San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons, Oct 25
- Who will be the next White House Press Secretary?
- Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
- Maine Senate Margin of Victory?
- 2026 Ohio Governor election winner?
- When will OpenAI hold its IPO?
- Taylor Swift @ Kansas City Chiefs Game Tracker
- Which sports will @ManifoldSports automate before 2027?
- When will a person who was screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for doing so?
- Which country will win the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026?
- Who will win Nuevo Leon's 2027 Gubernatorial Election?
- What will be the next year North Carolina votes for a Democratic presidential candidate?
- Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
- Fed decision in March
- On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
- Which week will Anthropic's IPO prospectus (Form S-1) go public on SEC EDGAR?
- Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
- Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia provincial election?
- What team will win the 2026 ACC Football Conference Championship game?
- How many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
- Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets, Oct 21
- NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
- How high will BTC get in October?
- Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Indiana's 5th District?
Gesuchte Märkte
Seiten dieser Plattform, die Sichtbarkeit in Suchmaschinen erzielt haben, mit ihren Ergebnissen.
- Name a hack people swear by for staying fit long-term. (Bilt Rent Free Sep 1, 2026)1. Sept. 2026
- Name a piece of festival etiquette everyone should know. (Bilt Rent Free Sep 1, 2026)1. Sept. 2026
- Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?9. Okt. 2026
- Quem será o Bola de Ouro da 7ª edição da Copa Gosa?
- Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat?
- What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)
- Name a city with the craziest sports fans. (Bilt Rent Free Aug 1, 2026)1. Aug. 2026
- Alan’s Conservative AGI countdown reaches 100% before August 1 2026
- Name a reality show where romance seems more like a competition. (Bilt Rent Free Aug 1, 2026)1. Aug. 2026
- Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
- Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?
- 🇪🇸ESP vs 🇦🇹AUT [World Cup '26]2. Juli 2026
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
- who will win IIT (Isobowl Invitational Tournament) HS Division - add your team30. Aug. 2026
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October?
- 🇨🇴COL vs 🇨🇩COD [World Cup '26]24. Juni 2026
- 🇫🇷FRA vs 🇮🇶IRQ [World Cup '26]23. Juni 2026
- IMO 2026 Bronze Cutoff?19. Juli 2026
- Quem ganhará a Copa Gosa?
- Rogue AIs before 2028?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]
- Which team will win ARML 2026?30. Mai 2026
- Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
- Will we get AGI before 2033?