Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nov-Dec 2026 53.4%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-7.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 26, 22:51 UTC1. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketSTRC hits $100 by…
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES when Tesla's stock price (TSLA) closes at or above $500 on any trading day.
- Resolution will be verified using official closing prices from NASDAQ or Yahoo Finance.
- The market resolves NO if the stock never reaches $500 by the specified end date.
- Tesla's stock closed at $449.78 on December 31, 2025, requiring approximately an 11% gain to reach $500.
- The stock reached an intraday high of $498.83 on December 22, 2025, coming within 0.2% of the target.
Offene Märkte
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.636,9 €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 79.638,2 €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 185.762,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit in September 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Nov-Dec 2026 mit 53% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Tesla share price reach $500? entschieden?
- When will Tesla share price reach $500? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Tesla share price reach $500? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria