Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 62.2%
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet22. Aug. 26, 23:03 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Daniel Lord announce meeting vanlife girl before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
- Rules & Edge Cases:
- "Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
- Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 802.561,8 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 736.478,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 62% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? entschieden?
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria