Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 62.4%
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert22. Aug. 26, 23:03 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Daniel Lord still own a Tesla on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord announce the acquisition of “cereal” before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord publicly state that he is in a romantic relationship before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord return to OnlyFans by January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
- Rules & Edge Cases:
- "Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
- Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.