KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocratic by 9.0% or more 21%+2.0%Führend unter 20 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2644,1 €
Liquidität
22.595,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
16.7%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
20. Mai 26, 18:006. Mai 29, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic by 9.0% or more21%
Volumentrend
$3.0k4. Juli3T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2,9 Mio. €Before Jul 14, 2026: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2,1 Mio. €JD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
1,2 Mio. €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
855.645,3 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will win the U.S. House?
156.582,9 €Democratic Party: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
128.393 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News.jpg)
Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling lifts Lula to 55.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.