Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic??

Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 20, 2029 mit 47% (Stand: 8. September 2026).

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

KIOne-Off3Mon

KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Before Jan 20, 2029 47.4%

Führend unter 3 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.

Marktqualitat

37 / 100

Niedrige Qualität

24h-Volumen

—

Liquidität

344 €

Niedrige Liquidität

Spread

5.0 pt

Mittlerer Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten

9. Juli 26, 00:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 14:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

KIOne-Off3Mon

KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Before Jan 20, 2029 47.4%

Führend unter 3 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.

Marktqualitat

37 / 100

Niedrige Qualität

24h-Volumen

—

Liquidität

344 €

Niedrige Liquidität

Spread

5.0 pt

Mittlerer Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten

9. Juli 26, 00:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 14:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic??: Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 20, 2029 mit 47% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? entschieden?: Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? abgerechnet?: Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

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