KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 09.09.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 3.0% 0%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
3. Sept. 26, 01:00 UTC5. Jan. 35, 13:29 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2027
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in September 2026?
ForecastExUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiRegeln
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released.
- It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
- The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2034.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.610,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.773 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 548.346,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 29.818,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.724 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.694,1 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 310.341,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6532,2 €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US unemployment rate at year-end 2034?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 3.0% mit 0% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 entschieden?
- US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 soll am 5. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.