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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 17:38 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Nvidia · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Nvidia 43.5%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Nvidia 43.5%Marktqualitat
19 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
327,5 €
Open Interest
312 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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NvidiaSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert23. Okt. 26, 16:00 UTC30. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Nvidia
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
KalshiWill the US and/or China ban at least two open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill POTUS issue an executive order aiming to mitigate security risks associated with open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Nvidia is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Nvidia
- If Nvidia is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alibaba
- If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GLM
- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DeepSeek
- If DeepSeek is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xiaomi
- If Xiaomi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Thinking Machines
- If Thinking Machines is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mistral
- If Mistral is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If OpenAI is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cohere
- If Cohere is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Meta
- If Meta is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.