KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 1.5% 75%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
25 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
479,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC28. Jan. 37, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US nominal GDP growth in 2035
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2034
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2033
KalshiWill AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be the largest economy by nominal gdp in 2052?
Manifold MarketsUS nominal GDP growth in 2032
KalshiRegeln
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2036 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The Underlying is the 2036 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2036,” or its equivalent successor publication.
- The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA.
- Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2036 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2036 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.703 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.726,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.726,9 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 612.533,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6886,5 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5285,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US nominal GDP growth in 2036?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 1.5% mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US nominal GDP growth in 2036 entschieden?
- US nominal GDP growth in 2036 soll am 28. Januar 2037 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US nominal GDP growth in 2036 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2036 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.