KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 95%+8.0pt
Marktqualitat
65 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
452,9 €
Liquidität
7737,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
95.0% / 98.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
27. Juli 26, 21:45 UTC1. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
LimitlessWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Benjamin Netanyahu has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The GuardianFox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 719.579,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 97.764,5 €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October??
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? entschieden?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Benjamin Netanyahu has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.