KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 19:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 1 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 1 70%Führend unter 5 Optionen
At least 1 70%Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
0 $
Open Interest unbekanntGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 1
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the federal minimum wage increase before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage be raised?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
KalshiIf a Republican president is elected in the 2024 US election, will the federal minimum wage increase above $7.25/hr?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 2 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:National Conference of State LegislaturesU.S. Department of Labor, Wage and Hour Division
- A state qualifies upon enactment during 2027 of a statute or voter-approved measure that raises that state's general minimum wage above the rate prior law would have produced. Enactment requires the governor's signature, a veto override, or the measure becoming law without signature. A ballot measure qualifies on approval by voters at an election held during 2027. The effective date may fall in 2027 or later. A state also qualifies by accelerating or raising an already-scheduled step, by changing an indexing formula so that the rate comes out higher, or by setting a general minimum wage for the first time. Each state counts once however many measures it enacts, and stays counted if the measure is later repealed, superseded or enjoined. The following do NOT count: An automatic inflation or cost-of-living adjustment under existing law An increase enacted before 2027, whichever year it takes effect A measure that lowers, freezes, caps or preempts a minimum wage A measure raising only a sub-population rate, such as tipped, youth, agricultural or public contractor wages, without raising the general rate An executive order, agency rule, wage board order or court decision A city, county or other local ordinance A bill passed by one or both chambers but not enacted, and a measure placed on a 2028 or later ballot Washington, D.C. and the U.S. territories are NOT states. Neither the January 1, 2027 increases in states that index to inflation nor the already-enacted 2027 steps in Michigan, Alaska, Virginia and Rhode Island count.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 1
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 1 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 2 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 3 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 4 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of U.S. states that enact a new general minimum wage increase is at least 5 in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
