KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 10 98%+1.0ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
9732,7 €
Liquidität
14.136,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 16:30 UTC22. Sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 18+2.4pt97%
- September 30+1.7pt97%
- September 11+3.7pt96%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 596.862,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt53.5%
- October 31+2.5pt28.9%
- September 30+1.0pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- September 25+2.0pt84%
- September 30-1.5pt83%
- September 18+8.0pt83%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 110.733,1 €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+0.6pt53.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-0.5pt28.7%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt8.9%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt22%
- October 31-1.0pt14%
- September 30+0.1pt6%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 10 mit 98% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) entschieden?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) soll am 22. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.