KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2.1% to 2.5% 10%-10.0ptFührend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5,7 €
Liquidität
6910,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 00:00 UTC28. Feb. 33, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2033?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiRegeln
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 266.407 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 76.429,4 €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 93.133,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 157.735,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.329,5 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.271,6 €
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt90.1%
- Yes-2.0pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.129 €
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Kalshi bewertet 2.1% to 2.5% mit 10% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird US real GDP growth in 2032? entschieden?
- US real GDP growth in 2032? soll am 28. Februar 2033 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US real GDP growth in 2032? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.