KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 26.07.2026, 02:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore September 2%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
7030,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.3% / 9.9%
Spread
330.4%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
2. Feb. 26, 22:001. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before September2%
Volumentrend
$12. Juli21T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Trump out as President before 2027?
13.917,5 €Ja: 8%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
3093,2 €Ja: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
1333,5 €Ja: 3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
175,8 €Ja: 8.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Obama arrested before 2027?
138,9 €Ja: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Democrats win the Senate before January 20, 2029?
57,1 €Ja: 61%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Department of Justice (DOJ) has released Data Set 13 (pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act) to the public before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Released to the public means the document is made freely accessible to the general public without restriction, can be viewed, downloaded, or accessed by the public (paywalls and similar restrictions still count as public), and the release is intentional by the entity (not a leak or hack).
- Publishing the full document on a publicly accessible website, making it available through a public records request portal, including it as an attachment to a public filing, distributing to media outlets who publish it in full, or posting on publicly accessible social media platforms all constitute release to the public.
- Merely describing or summarizing the document's contents, publishing excerpts or portions, showing the document briefly on screen, releasing a redacted version when the unredacted version is specified, or leaking without authorization do NOT constitute release to the public.
- If the Department of Justice (DOJ) has released Data Set 13 (pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act) to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.