KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 150 81%+2.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
22.463,1 €
Liquidität
24.523,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
18. Sept. 26, 16:30 UTC29. Sept. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 657.369,4 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 539.141,6 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-4.0pt76.2%
- Yes+4.0pt23.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 408.616,7 €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+0.7pt96%
- September 3090%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 257.382,4 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 140.933,9 €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+4.0pt39%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt27%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt14%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 150 mit 81% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) entschieden?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) soll am 29. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.