GeminiEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 27.07.2026, 03:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRaúl Castro 99%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
30. Apr. 26, 18:381. Jan. 27, 0:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Raúl Castro99%
Plattformen vergleichen· Raúl Castro
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt94% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 99% | 0pt | 2407,2 € | 358.407,3 € | vor 18 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| GeminiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 99% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 18 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
2.0 pts5Mon
99%
+2.0pt44%
+1.0pt35%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
70 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen932.812,1 €
24h-Volumen2407,2 €
KALSHIRegeln
Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If Raúl Castro has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).