Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 76%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
25 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
979,6 €
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
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KalshiRegeln
This set of markets tracks the next individual to officially assume office as Prime Minister of Spain (President of the Government) between July 14, 2026, and March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must win a parliamentary vote of confidence (investiture) in the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn in, resulting in the official formation of a new government.
- Interim or caretaker prime ministers who do not win a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count.
- If the incumbent, Pedro Sánchez, wins a new vote of confidence and is sworn in again, he counts as the next Prime Minister.
- If no individual meets these criteria by the deadline, all markets under this set resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Source is official information from the Government of Spain (La Moncloa) and the appointment decree published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado (BOE).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of Spain? · Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%